Matthew Kerkhoff's Blog

Chief Investment Strategist
Model Investing
matt [at] modelinvesting [dot] com ()

Matthew Kerkhoff is the Chief Investment Strategist at Model Investing. Matt holds degrees in Management Science and Psychology from the University of California, San Diego, and an MBA from the University of San Diego. His approach to reading markets focuses on understanding the psychology of market participants and anticipating their behavior. Layering an element of behavioral science on top of technical and fundamental analysis allows him unique insight into market direction.

The Uptrend Continues

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By Matthew Kerkhoff – It’s been a very bullish year, and yet major averages continue to attack their high-water marks time and time again. For many, this instills a sense of unease … a feeling that things are too good...

Bears Love Low Probability Outcomes

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By Matthew Kerkhoff – Investing is a game of probabilities, and while those probabilities are not always clearly defined, sometimes they are. Case in point: year-end rallies. Let’s say I took an oddly shaped coin out of my...

Thankful for Growth

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By Matthew Kerkhoff – This economy may not be perfect, but it’s the only one we’ve got, so let’s be thankful for the many positive developments we’re seeing both here in the States and across the globe. This week, as you sit...

Junk Bonds, Transports, and the Yield Curve

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By Matthew Kerkhoff – Right now there appear to be three main sources of concern for bulls: high-yield bonds, the Transports, and the slope of the yield curve. Let’s examine each of these individually to see if they warrant a change in...

Global Growth Cues Abound

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By Matthew Kerkhoff – Sometimes stock market rallies can be so powerful that you just have to grab ahold of something sturdy and hang on. Every once in a while, the upward surge can be so strong that it feels as though...

Navigating Aberrant Data

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By Matthew Kerkhoff – What is the true state of the US economy? Let's look at the data, both positive and negative, to find out. Last month, according to preliminary estimates, the economy lost 33,000 more jobs than it created. This is rather remarkable, considering...

Fed to Launch Quantitative Tightening - Should You Be Worried?

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By Matthew Kerkhoff – Expectations are currently that the Federal Reserve will announce plans to begin "quantitative tightening" this Wednesday by unwinding its balance sheet. When you consider that the Fed currently owns around 29% of the market for mortgage-backed securities...

Binary Event Conflicts Don’t Sink Stock Markets, But This Could

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By Matthew Kerkhoff – I was originally going to publish the latest article in our option series today, wrapping up our discussion on getting paid to buy stocks, but the market reaction to North Korea seems more pressing, so we’ll...

Where Did TINA Go?

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By Matthew Kerkhoff – A few years ago, TINA was everywhere … she was the life of the party. Whenever people wondered why stocks kept rising, she’d show up and people would scream, TINA! But I haven’t heard anyone mention...

Short-Term Improvement, Long-Term Concerns

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By Matthew Kerkhoff – Most averages are creeping higher today, but the last couple of weeks of volatile price action has caused some significant damage to the charts. In particular, there are concerns developing in the S&P, the small...

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