Tim Iacono's Contributions

Gallup: Confidence Lowest in a Year

Given that, up until last weekend, most Americans either weren’t paying attention to what was going on in Washington regarding a government shutdown or had become conditioned to think a last minute deal would get done...

Is the Fed Now Dysfunctional Too?

A frightening prospect has developed in just the last week, that is, since the Federal Reserve surprised nearly everyone by announcing it would leave its $85 billion per month money printing effort intact...

Consumer Confidence Is Fading

The combination of a possible government shutdown one week from today and the debt ceiling debate that will heat up soon afterward appears to be having an impact on the American mood if the latest survey from Gallup is any indication.

Case-Shiller Home Prices Up 12.4%

Standard & Poor’s reported that U.S. home prices continued to rise at a brisk pace over the summer as the 20-city Case-Shiller Home Price Index jumped 1.8 percent in July and the 10-city index rose even faster, up 1.9 percent.

Housing Starts Disappoint

The Commerce Department reported that housing starts and permits for new construction were less than expected last month, though the weakness was centered in the volatile multi-family home category as single-family home building increased.

Negative Jobs Report Paints Weak Picture for the Economy

The Labor Department reported that U.S. employers added 169,000 jobs in August and the unemployment rate fell from 7.4 percent to 7.3 percent, however, the underlying details for both data points were far more negative than the data itself.

Global Home Prices, the Long-Term View

In this item at the The Economist, the graphics department has updated their global home price data series and interactive charting tools to enable this long-term view of global home prices that, by itself, is pretty interesting.

Rent vs. Buy Now Favors Renting

Amid all the recent housing reports that clearly show a spring buying surge and a slowdown since that time comes this story from Standard & Poor’s that depicts...

Q2 GDP Revised Higher to 2.5%

The Commerce Department reported that, during the second quarter, the U.S. economy expanded much faster than originally estimated as new data caused the growth rate to be revised up from 1.7 percent to 2.5 percent, well above expectations for a 2.2 percent rate.

Consumer Sentiment Drops

The Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index dropped from 85.1 in July to 80.0 in the first of two readings for August, the sharpest decline since last December when a number of budget related issues were weighing on the American mood.

Inflation Back Up to 2 Percent Annual Rate

The Labor Department reported that overall consumer prices in the U.S. rose by 0.2 percent from June to July and that the official annual rate of inflation now stands at 2.0 percent, up from just 1.1 percent as recently as three months ago.

Slow Auto Sales Hold Back June Retail Sales

The Commerce Department reported that U.S. retail sales were lower than expected in June, up 0.2 percent after an upwardly revised gain of 0.6 percent in May (note that this data series is adjusted for seasonal variations but not for inflation or population growth).

A Top in Consumer Confidence?

It will be interesting to see what happens to this Gallup polling data in the months ahead as it appears a top in consumer confidence may already be in.

Unemployment Rate Falls as Workers Exit Labor Force

The Labor Department reported that U.S. employers added 162,000 jobs in July after a downwardly revised gain of 188,000 in June and the jobless rate fell from 7.6 percent to 7.4 percent, however...

GDP Rises at 1.7% Pace in Second Quarter

The Commerce Department reported that the U.S. economy grew much faster than expected in the second quarter as real Gross Domestic Product rose at a 1.7 percent annual rate, up from a 1.1 percent rate in the first quarter.

Case-Shiller Home Prices Rise Most in 7 Years

Standard & Poor’s reported that U.S. home prices continued to rise sharply in the spring as the Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index jumped 2.4 percent in May and that home values are up 12.2 percent from a year ago, the fastest pace of appreciation since March 2006.

Economic Confidence Stalls

In this story today, Gallup provides some interesting new polling data on the American mood which appears to have peaked late in the spring and is now faltering.

Existing Home Sales Dip, Prices Rise

The National Association of Realtors reported that sales of existing homes came in well below analysts’ estimates, falling 1.2 percent last month from a downwardly revised seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.14 million in May to 5.08 million in June.

The Chinese Buy California Real Estate

This CNN/Money report details how buyers from China are increasingly opting for U.S. real estate, often paying in cash and preferring California to most other states.

Case-Shiller: Record Home Price Gains

Standard & Poor’s reported that U.S. home prices were more than 12 percent higher than a year ago, the fastest annual rate since mid-2006, as the Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index jumped 2.5 percent in April, or 1.7 percent after seasonal adjustments.

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