Ryan Puplava's Blog

Chief Executive Officer, Technical Analyst
ryan [dot] puplava [at] financialsense [dot] com ()

Financial Sense® Advisors, Inc.
Chief Executive Officer
Technical Analyst
Financial Sense® Securities, Inc.
Options and Muni Principle
Registered Representative
Financial Sense & Financial Sense Newshour
Columnist & Guest

Ryan joined Financial Sense® Wealth Management in 1995. He holds a B.S. in Business Administration/Finance from San Diego State University. His professional designations include FINRA Series 4, Series 7, Series 53, and Series 66 Uniform Combined State Law Exam. He earned the Chartered Market Technician's designation in 2007. Mr. Puplava is the Chief Executive Officer and works closely with James Puplava and the management team; he also contributes Market Observations to Financial Sense and is a weekly guest on Financial Sense Newshour with the market wrap report.

Let Me Take You on an Inversion Excursion

Dec 4 – The yield curve—specifically, the spread between 3- and 5-year Treasury yields—has inverted. This has bearish implications since it shows that large investors are now shifting their demand from short-term debt to long-term debt in...

Did Today Tell a Retail Story?

Nov 20 – Christmas didn’t come early this year for retailers. On November 20, many retail firms announced their earnings ahead of the holiday season. Overall the results were good, though they did add to the already growing concerns...

On and Below the Surface

Nov 1 - The global market in securities has shown us over the past month just how volatile and risky investing can be. The catalysts and drivers behind the selling pressure are hard to pick out because it’s been fluid these past few weeks...

Yields Spike on Higher Inflation Concerns

By Ryan Puplava CMT – The trend towards higher inflation continues to strengthen. Today’s release of the Empire Manufacturing Survey for May showed a pickup in the prices paid index to a seven-year high, matching levels not seen since...

Proper Focus Ahead

By Ryan Puplava – We begin next week with the first quarter earnings season that really kicks off Friday with several banks reporting. Companies are likely on blackout periods from purchasing stock so there is a lull in corporate buy-backs currently...

One of These Things Is Not Like the Other

By Ryan Puplava CMT – The big question on my mind, is whether this correction will be like the many we have faced or whether this correction is not like the others. The issue is that many of the fear indicators we’ve used in the past to pinpoint capitulation...

A Random Reversion on Wall Street

By Ryan Puplava – What goes up, must come down. And it was finally the stock market’s turn to take some profits aside. Friday’s 2.13% decline in the S&P 500 was the bookend to a week’s drop of 3.86% - all while the majority of companies this week produced...

Reflate Away

Ryan Puplava CMT – A pickup in the reflation trade has helped financials with a new 52-week high for the Financials SPDR ETF. Ever since Irma was downgraded and CPI surprised to the upside, insurers and financials have improved along with the Treasury yield. Financials are...

Dow Industrials Warned – Nasdaq Answered

By Ryan Puplava – The divergences began with the Dow Jones Industrial Average being the only index that was still going up. That’s typically a warning that breadth (or participation) was waning and a correction was due. The dip came and went and despite the natural...

Thrust Confirms Breakout With an Improvement in Participation

By Ryan Puplava – Today, there was a decent improvement in the breadth outlook as the US stock market pushed higher and the S&P 500 closed at another new high of 2430. The percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving average has improved with today’s jump bringing...

S&P 500 Sector Review

It’s been a while since I’ve done a sector review so let’s see what’s performing. The best looking sector is staples. Almost 84% of the holdings in the XLP are above their 200-day exponential moving average...

The View at 30,000 Feet

The U.S. equity market has clearly undergone a consolidation for some time. In some areas, we see a longer consolidation than in others; however, many of the equity indices are already showing well-established uptrends that began at the October low...

Meaningful Energy Bottom Close at Hand

It has been a wrenching month to hold energy stocks with the dollar rising steadily in August and in September, pushing commodity prices down. Gold has fallen from $1320 to as far as $1183. West Texas Intermediate has fallen from $100 a barrel to $86.50 at the time of this report.

Index Review

It’s time to do a technical checkup on the market. There have been a couple of trends to note recently that indicate where investors should bias their equity allocation. As I have mentioned a few times lately, there has been a large concern over valuations in the market.

Are Stocks in a Bubble? Analysis of Valuations and Stock Buybacks

As I’ve been hearing the pushback to the market’s gains, there are a few that are louder than the rest. I guess if you say something enough times, it becomes truth. Unfortunately for the general population, not many investors are savvy enough to do their own statistical analysis nor do they have the databases...

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