Sector Check

The following is an excerpt from the May 31, 2013 blog for Decision Point subscribers.

The S&P 500 component stocks are divided into nine sectors. All the stocks are used, and each stock is only used once. Those sector indexes are typically tracked using the nine SPDRs, which are essentially ETFs that whereby the sectors can be traded. We thought it would be a good idea to take a quick look at charts of those nine sectors.

This article is a bit "chart intensive", but the idea is to demonstrate how you can gather information about a lot of stocks by reviewing their charts. The following charts are taken from one of our chart books.

In the first group we begin with the S&P 500 as the benchmark. It has been consolidating in the context of an extended advance. It remains above its 20-EMA, and remains steady. The seven sector charts in the group are similar to their host index in that they are consolidating above their 20-EMA. Some internal weakness is evident in that their PMOs (Price Momentum Oscillators) have topped, and a few of the PMOs have crossed down through their 10-EMAs.

For the two remaining sectors, it is a different story. Consumer Staples has broken down through its 20-EMA and is testing support on its 50-EMA. Utilities is experiencing a serious correction. It has broken through both its 20-EMA and 50-EMA, and appears to be finding support just above its 200-EMA.

Conclusion: The S&P 500 is taking a little break, consolidating its recent advance. The price chart looks solid. Seven of the nine sectors are in similar condition and reflect no serious intermediate-term issues. Only two of the nine sectors are showing price weakness, and only one of those (Utilities) is in bad shape. In short, 78% of the sectors validate S&P 500 price action and do not reflect any serious weakness.

Technical analysis is a windsock, not a crystal ball.

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