Profoundly significant news came out of the Middle East on Monday January 23, 2012. The headline via DEBKAfile* reads:
India to Pay Gold Instead of Dollars for Iranian Oil. Oil and Gold Markets Stunned
Within the body of the report were gleaned these crucial items:
- India has become the first buyer of Iranian oil to agree to settle purchases in gold.
- China is expected to follow India's move.
- Approximately 40% of Iran's total oil exports are consumed by India and China.
- Settling oil transactions in gold enables Tehran to circumvent the EU's upcoming freeze on Iran's Central Bank assets and the oil embargo announced Monday January 23rd.
- Due to the magnitude of the transactions proposed, the price of gold is expected to rise and the Dollar's value depressed on world markets.
- The EU currently accounts for approximately 20% of Iran's oil exports.
- The transactions are to be facilitated via two Indian state owned banks and a Turkish state owned bank.
- Financial mechanisms have also been implemented between Iran and Russia for the settlement of oil purchases in currencies other than the US Dollar.
Iranian Crisis Evolving into Dollar Hegemony and Western Power Challenge
At this point in time it is unnecessary to rehash the dismal state of fiscal and monetary affairs that plague the US. Excluding the willfully delusional, it is clear to any honest analyst that the gargantuan debts of the US can never be paid in full with dollars retaining current purchasing power. Further, with the insatiable need to issue exponentially growing volumes of debt to keep the welfare/warfare state hobbling along, who would willingly continue to finance such a debacle? All that's left to supports this failing fiat experiment is an entrenched, yet deteriorating, reserve currency system to which there has not been a functioning alternative to date.
It is because of this macroeconomic environment, and the policies that gutted a previously productive goods producing economy, that the only tool left for the US to maintain the status quo is to defend at all costs the Dollar's reserve currency status....and its foundational component the Petro Dollar. This is most likely the motive behind the quickening drumbeat to go to war with Iran. If keeping the world safe from rogue states with nuclear capabilities were the sole motive, than why have North Korea and Pakistan been given a pass?
Unlike the invasion of Iraq, whereby that oil rich nation had no allies come to its aid or at least none with the wherewithal to dare protest in a meaningful way, the Iranian crisis is developing into a far more serious geopolitical happening. Just as most wars are a smokescreen for behind the scenes power plays between the various ruling class, the events unfolding in the Persian Gulf look to be such in spades. What will shock the world when the actions reported above are fully digested is the choosing of sides and the clandestine development of alternative financial mechanisms by those nations previously believed not ready or unable to challenge the Western elites.
Following years of speculation as to the fate of the US Dollar and the lengths to which Western bankers would go to defend the system that serves them so well, could today's headlines be the proverbial ringing bell? Unfortunately, the actions of most bankrupt and overextended empires is to march its people into a calamitous war. As with all historically recorded futile endeavors in defending the indefensible (i.e. a debt based paper monetary system), the most likely financial survivor will again be gold.