Stratfor's Contributions

In China, Innovation Cuts Both Ways

By Stratfor – China is in a bind. The heavy industry that propelled the country's economy through three decades of dizzying growth has reached its limits. To escape the dreaded middle-income trap, China will need to shift...

Kirkuk: Asking the Next Big Questions

By Stratfor – Before the ISF staged its operation, there had been rumors that the faction of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) party led by the Talabani family proposed jointly governing Kirkuk province with Baghdad.

Fake News in the Age of Facebook

By Stratfor – The "fake news" problem isn't just about "alternative facts." The problem has more to do with the spin, the narrative, the context that inclines you to believe, for example, whether there was or was not collusion...

Stratfor Worldview’s 2017 Fourth Quarter Forecast for Geopolitical Developments

By Stratfor – Based on the principle that transformative world events are not random, but are in fact predictable, Stratfor develops decade, annual and quarterly forecasts. These forecasts are built upon Stratfor’s geopolitical...

As the Word War With North Korea Escalates, So Does the Risk of Real War

By Stratfor – The United States has declared war on North Korea, according to North Korean Foreign Minister Ri Su Yong. In a brief news conference in New York on Sept. 25, Ri said that US President Donald Trump's recent...

Iraqi Kurdistan Prepares for a Vote That Will Shake Nations

By Stratfor – In less than a week, the largest nation in the world without a state of its own — the Kurds — may finally hold a vote on whether to declare one. The approaching independence referendum, which Iraqi...

US: Why Trump Blocked a Semiconductor Company Takeover

By Stratfor – US President Donald Trump has stopped a foreign investment into a US company. On Sept. 13, Trump blocked Canyon Bridge Capital Partners' proposed purchase of Lattice Semiconductor Corporation for $1.3 billion,

North Korea: New Watered-Down Sanctions Leave Lifelines in Place

By Stratfor – Just over a week after North Korea's test of a nuclear device, the United States has secured a fresh set of UN sanctions against the country. The speed with which the United Nations Security Council adopted these measures is unprecedented...

Why North Korea Won't Stop

By Stratfor – North Korea has indeed conducted its sixth nuclear test. The US Geological Service and the China Earthquake Administration recorded a 6.3 magnitude earthquake as a result of the detonation on Sept. 3, followed by...

China, India: Roads, Trains and Infrastructure Pains

Stratfor – The road to resolution on the India-China border just got longer. As the standoff near Doklam enters its third month, the two countries are opening another front on the Line of Actual Control (LAC), their de facto border. On Aug. 24

The Apocalyptic Vision of Stephen K. Bannon

By Stratfor – History may not repeat itself precisely, but according to Steve Bannon, it sure does rhyme. And the rhyme we are soon to hear, according to the White House chief strategist, will echo epochal crises like the Great Depression, the Civil War, and the American Revolution.

North Korea Gets Specific With Its Guam Threat

By Stratfor – North Korea has released specific details of its plan to strike the US territory of Guam. According to comments attributed to Gen. Kim Rak Gyom, commander of the Strategic Force of the Korean People's Army, the military is drawing up plans...

The Trump Administration Reaches for a Trade Sledgehammer

By Stratfor – The White House is planning to launch new investigations into China's trade and intellectual property practices, and soon. The move underscores how talks between the United States and China have broken down over...

How the 'Wild West' of the Internet Will Be Won

By Stratfor – National defense is one of a government's core responsibilities. The pursuit traditionally has played out on land, over water and, since the 20th century, in air and space. But today, cyberspace is emerging as the latest...

G-20 Meeting Shines a Spotlight on Global Divisions

By Stratfor – Leaders of the world's most powerful economies are converging on Hamburg, Germany, for the annual Group of 20 meeting. The summit, as usual, will provide a venue to discuss issues of critical international importance.

US: New Sanctions Against North Korea Target China, Too

By Stratfor – The US Department of the Treasury unveiled new sanctions June 29 targeting Chinese entities allegedly acting as fronts for North Korean interests, including the Dalian Global Unity Shipping Company and two Chinese nationals.

Stratfor Worldview’s 2017 Third-Quarter Forecast

By Stratfor – Based on the principle that transformative world events are not random, but are in fact predictable, Stratfor develops decade, annual and quarterly forecasts. These forecasts are built upon Stratfor’s geopolitical methodology...

Germany: The Next Stop in the Campaign for Europe's Future

By Stratfor – The first quarter of 2017 had the Dutch elections. The second had the French elections. The main political event in Europe during the third quarter will be general elections in Germany. But unlike the previous votes, the German elections...

France: Paris Attack Shakes up Presidential Race

France is once again picking up the pieces after another terrorist attack shocked the country — this one just days before polls open for the first round of its presidential election. Late April 20, a man opened fire on policemen on...

2017 Second-Quarter Forecast

Trade will be at the forefront of many leaders' minds this quarter as a new US administration settles into the White House. Though US President Donald Trump continues to be bogged down by congressional battles and allegations...

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