Stratfor's Contributions

The US Strikes a Syrian Air Base

The United States has opted to send a message to the Syrian government that it will not tolerate chemical weapons attacks. Washington launched approximately 50-70 precision-guided missiles April 6 at the Shayrat air base.

The Future According to Kevin Kelly

The genius of Kelly's newest book lies in the way he goes meta, how he transcends particular technologies and pieces of hardware — the gee-wizardry of flying cars or spaceships — and focuses instead on fundamental technological forces like "cognifying"...

Imagining a World After Fossil Fuels

Since 1750, mankind has pumped some 150 billion tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Almost half that amount has been emitted since 2000, 9.9 billion tons of it in 2016 alone. U.S. President Donald Trump claims...

Netherlands: Moderate Parties Hold Onto Power

A general election in the Netherlands on March 15 led to a fragmented parliament, meaning a coalition of several parties will be needed to form a government. Through the results, voters expressed frustration with the establishment...

Connectivity, Not Primacy, Is the Way of the World

As surprising as it may seem, speaking of "deglobalization" as an unstoppable trend became fashionable long before Donald Trump was elected the United States' 45th president. Citing the persistent after-effects of the 2008...

Europe’s Leaders Prepare for Crisis

This year will prove decisive for the eurozone. Between March and September, the Netherlands, France and Germany will hold general elections whose outcomes will help determine the future of Europe's common currency.

China Moves to Put North Korea in Its Place

In response to North Korea's latest missile test, and perhaps to the apparent assassination of Kim Jong Nam, the half-brother of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, China has declared it will cease coal imports from North Korea for the entirety...

A Storm Is Brewing Over Europe

Storm clouds are once again gathering above the eurozone. In coming months, its continuity will be threatened by events in Europe and the United States. Germany, the largest political and economic player in Europe, will try to keep...

Trump Reverses Course on 'One-China' Principle

In his first phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping since taking office, US President Donald Trump on Feb. 10 told his counterpart that his administration will honor the so-called one-China policy, a long-standing diplomatic formula...

Japan Looks to Boost Infrastructure Investment in the US

Japan has mastered the art of the quick change. Throughout its modern history, the country has demonstrated an extraordinary capacity to adapt its policy to suit the demands of the day. In the late 19th century, Japan's leaders...

May Answers the Big Brexit Question

A speech by British Prime Minister Theresa May on Tuesday answered the biggest outstanding question about the United Kingdom's impending departure from the European Union: It will not try to stay in the bloc's single market.

India Pays the Price of Demonetization

The first phase of India's radical demonetization experiment is over. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi made waves in November with his surprise announcement that the country's 500- and 1,000-rupee notes — 86 percent...

A Trade War That Cannot Be Won

More than trade figures, the kinds of goods the United States imports from China reveal the complexities of the two countries' trade relationship—and the challenges US President-elect Donald Trump will face in trying to change it.

Universal Basic Income and Radical Populism: Making the Link

What are we utterly wrong about today? Think of the way we look back at practices like slavery and colonialism that were so commonly accepted in their time but were later rejected as offenses against basic morality. What is it about our...

South Korea's Neighbors Brace for a Foreign Policy Shift

The political chaos that has often enveloped South Korea at the end of a presidential term has been made more pronounced this time with the impeachment Dec. 9 of President Park Geun Hye. Instead of introducing stability to the country...

2017 Annual Forecast

The convulsions to come in 2017 are the political manifestations of much deeper forces in play. In much of the developed world, the trend of aging demographics and declining productivity is layered with technological innovation and...

Against China, Vietnam Stands Alone

The balance of power in Southeast Asia has been quietly shifting in China's favor, and perhaps no country feels it more than Vietnam. In the span of a few months, Hanoi — once the staunchest advocate for the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP)

The Trump Doctrine: A Work in Progress

The world is in a "frenzy of study," Henry Kissinger said in a recent interview. At home and abroad, strategists and pundits are trying to piece together a blueprint of American foreign policy under US President-elect Donald Trump...

The Global Move Towards a Cashless Society

In many areas of the world, cash is still king. But, as in other parts of the globe, it appears as if its days could be numbered in Australia, which may be preparing to ride the building global demonetization wave.

The Year That May Decide Europe's Fate

By this time next year, the eurozone could be defunct. Despite the small chances of it actually happening, the fact that the collapse of the currency union is even possible speaks volumes about the size of the problems Europe faces.

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