Chris Puplava's Blog

By Chris Puplava – Given the current trajectory and strength of leading economic indicators it appears that the U.S. economy may survive 2018 without the risk of slipping into a recession, raising the possibility of this cycle becoming the longest on record...

By Chris Puplava – We currently face a situation in which both the near-term outlook (1-3 years using ISM and Consumer Confidence data) and the long-term outlook (based on valuations) look dismal for the stock market. This clearly argues...

By Chris Puplava – Moves in the Japanese yen have been a reliable indicator for gold due to the effects of the yen carry trade. Given ultra-low interest rates in Japan, its currency has been the funding currency for global speculators who borrow in cheap yen...

By Chris Puplava – The S&P 500 has had quite a run since the early 2016 lows, not experiencing even a slight pullback of 5% or more, leading many to believe that the market would wobble during the seasonally weak period of August and September. Over the last...

Chris Puplava - Based on VIX options term structure, the current market correction is matching the fear readings seen at the November 2016 and June 2016 lows. Looking at the Russell 3000, we are oversold from a technical and breadth standpoint but have yet...

By Chris Puplava – History books refer to the last economic slowdown we experienced, triggered by the 2007-2008 financial crisis, as the Great Recession. Its impacts were so severe—the worst global recession since the Great Depression...

By Chris Puplava – Breadth is one of the most powerful tools that I use to asses strength of the economy and stock market. Breadth is simply a measure of the level of participation of stocks in a bull market or areas and sectors of the economy in...

In 1897, Samuel Clemens, best known by his pen name, Mark Twain, was in London for various speaking engagements when someone started a rumor that he was gravely ill, which was followed by another rumor that he had died.

What does a Trump Presidency mean for the economy and the markets, and does it alter our defensive posture? The short answer is no, and here's why. Trump has made it clear that he wants to lower taxes, roll back suffocating...

Philly Fed state coincident data came out today and more states across the country are starting to contract. Looking at the snapshot below, positively growing states still dominate the map (and don't give much of an alarming picture), but a different story emerges...